After the gavel falls

August 31, 2012 

After four days in Tampa – nominating their party’s presidential and vice presidential candidates, and assailing the current Democratic president – what impact will the GOP national convention have on the November election?

Not much, according to history.

Historically, the Republican nominee gets a five-percentage-point boost from his party’s convention, according to the Gallup organization. Sure, a five-point bump would be nice now for Mitt Romney, virtually tied in public opinion surveys with Barack Obama. But, according to Gallup, the Democratic nominee historically gets a six-percentage-point bump from his party’s convention.

In other words, at the end of next week’s Democratic convention, the race still should be inside the margin of error.

Coming Sunday and next week in The State and here, online

Democratic delegates will be pouring into Charlotte over the weekend for their party’s convention, and State reporters Adam Beam and Andy Shain will be there. Daily coverage starts in Sunday’s State and on thestate.com with a look at the economic impact of the convention – only 90 miles from Columbia – on South Carolina.

The State is pleased to provide this opportunity to share information, experiences and observations about what's in the news. Some of the comments may be reprinted elsewhere in the site or in the newspaper. We encourage lively, open debate on the issues of the day, and ask that you refrain from profanity, hate speech, personal comments and remarks that are off point. Thank you for taking the time to offer your thoughts.

Commenting FAQs | Terms of Service

Top Jobs

View All Top Jobs

Find a Home

$269,000 Columbia
6 bed, 3 full bath, 1 half bath. RARE FIND!!! Fantastic ...

Find a Car

Search New Cars