Roughly one in three adult Americans have past-due debt that’s been turned over to a collections agency, according to a novel new study.
Southern states fare worst in the study, with most having four in 10 residents with credit files that show debt in collection. The New England states fared best.
The findings overlap other economic data that together suggest millions of Americans continue struggling to make ends meet in an uneven economic recovery that’s benefited the top end far more than the middle and bottom.
In South Carolina, consumers make less money on average compared to North Carolina, Georgia and the U.S. But they borrow more in non-mortgage loans and have a harder time paying it back. Of the state’s three major cities, Columbia fares the worst, with nearly half of all consumers with a credit file having debt in collection status.
“Debt in collection is pervasive, and it threads through nearly all communities,” said Caroline Ratcliffe, the lead researcher on the report entitled Debt in America, published by the centrist think tank Urban Institute. “Every third person you see on the street (nationwide) has debt reported on their credit file.”
McClatchy obtained a copy of the report ahead of its release. Among the findings, based on records shared with researchers by the credit reporting agency TransUnion, are:
Future research will focus on a breakdown of debt by category, which will give a better sense of how much is credit card debt versus medical bills or student loans. The latter is likely an important part of the story.
“The big thing that was changing is big increases in student loan debt, which would also be part of this,” said Ratcliffe. “We know that a lot of the recovery happened more at the top than the bottom, people with delinquent debt are those least likely to be unable pay down the debt.”
Other existing statistical measures fill in the missing pieces. The Federal Reserve issues a quarterly report on delinquency rates on loans by commercial banks, and the latest, from January through March, shows 2.31 percent of credit card debt is delinquent.
That’s lower than what the Urban Institute study shows, and suggests that credit cards aren’t the whole story. The low levels of credit card delinquency, said experts, reflects both consumer reticence to take on new debt and weaker borrowers who no longer have access to credit.
There are an estimated 222 million credit files, and researchers got access to a random sample of 7 million in the month of September 2013. They then built a model to estimate national, regional and state levels of past-due debt and debt in collections. Another 22 million adults, 9 percent of the adult population, don’t have credit files and fall outside the study.
State-level data proved striking in the Urban Institute report – conducted with the Consumer Credit Research Institute in San Diego. It showed that 12 states had more than 40 percent of their citizens with credit files with debt actively in collection, 11 of those states in the South.
Nevada, slammed during the housing crisis that brought the deep national recession, led the pack at 47 percent. Other states over the 40 percent mark in addition to South Carolina included Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, North Carolina, Texas and West Virginia.
On the better side were North Dakota, Minnesota and South Dakota. The three states, rich in oil and minerals, had substantially lower percentages of citizens with debt in collection, respectively at 19.2 percent, 19.8 percent and 20.8 percent.