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June 27, 2014

Rain, but not tropical storm, likely during weekend

It’s likely to be a wet weekend in the Midlands, but at least the chance of a tropical disturbance is slim.

It’s likely to be a wet weekend in the Midlands, but at least the chance of a tropical disturbance is slim.

Tropical weather buffs who checked on the National Hurricane Center advisory site Friday found a yellow circle encompassing most of South Carolina on the map. But the advisory itself said the chance of the low pressure system in that area developing into a tropical disturbance in the next two days was zero percent.

The advisory goes on to say there’s a 20 percent chance of the system developing in the next five days, but by that time it would be offshore. There is a history of early summer lows drifting offshore of South Carolina and strengthening quickly into tropical storms, but forecast models indicate that’s unlikely this time, according to Mark Malsick, severe weather liaison for the S.C. Department of Natural Resources.

The main concern from this system for South Carolina is drenching rain, and that is most likely to occur in the Pee Dee and Grand Strand regions. The National Weather Service expects 2-4 inches in that area over the next seven days.

In the Midlands, the hourly forecasts show a 25-50 percent chance of rain and thunderstorms all weekend, with the highest chances Saturday afternoon. Rainfall totals, however, are expected to be less than an inch.

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