ELECTION 2014: Could Tim Scott's election in 2014 spur re-alignment of minority voters to the GOP?
02/09/2014 10:37 AM
02/09/2014 10:51 AM
COLUMBIA — Strom Thurmond’s 1964 switch to the Republican Party helped make the GOP in vogue in South Carolina, prompting white conservatives to flock to the Grand Old Party. Now, U.S. Sen. Tim Scott, the state’s first African-American senator, could help expand the party again, attracting minority voters, some conservatives say.
If Scott wins the November contest and then again in 2016, he would become a “national symbol for conservative values in the black community, and he will begin to force a realignment” of African-American voters with the GOP, said Clemson University professor Dave Woodard, a Republican consultant.
Scott’s successes would make it easier for African-Americans who do not agree with the Democratic Party’s positions on social issues – including abortion and gay marriage – to shift to the GOP, Woodard said.
State Senate President Pro Tempore John Courson, R-Richland, said Scott’s continued presence as one of 100 U.S. senators would give him “automatic credibility” and help the GOP appeal to minorities in the state and nationally.
But not everyone thinks a Scott win would result in an exodus of African-Americans to the Republican Party.
Thurmond’s transformation of the Southern GOP was “pretty dramatic,” said Scott Buchanan, a Citadel political scientist. “But I don’t see the same thing (happening) with Scott.”
That’s because even while many African-Americans already agree with the GOP on some social issues, they still do not vote Republican. “It hasn’t made any difference yet,” Buchanan said.
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