It’s a bad matchup, because one truly doesn’t know which Florida team will show up and there’s not much doubt which South Carolina team will show up. The Gators have taken their lumps this year but have pulled it together lately as they still could potentially win the SEC East. USC is just trying to get to a bowl game.
The Gamecocks have an advantage in that they’ve flayed a good defense before this season. Auburn was only averaging 333 yards given up per game before USC shot the lights out in Jordan-Hare. Florida has a very strong defense as well but if the Gamecocks did it once, they can do it again. Frankly, they’ll have to to keep their best chance of winning alive.
That best chance is keeping USC’s defense off the field. I can’t think of any scenario where Kurt Roper and Will Muschamp won’t run the ball. It worked so, so well in a season-saving win over Georgia and this USC defensive front hasn’t been able to stop the run all season. While the Gamecocks also don’t have a pass-rush, I can’t see the Gators saying that’s the main thing they have to take advantage of – if they do, well, it will also most likely work more often than not.
USC will give up one more score than it can afford to and the game will end as it has lately. I’m just not sure which scenario it will be – the Gamecocks failing to get in position for a crack at a game-winner, or the Gators scoring the game-winner as the clock dwindles.
FLORIDA 30, SOUTH CAROLINA 28