What Vegas Thinks: Major line swing from preseason
10/24/2013 2:12 PM
10/24/2013 2:31 PM
Sports gambling industry journalist David Purdum (@DavidPurdum on Twitter) joins us once again to talk about dramatic movement in the betting line on the South Carolina-Missouri game, plus an error that had lots of folks scratching their heads on Sunday.
The State: South Carolina was a 7.5-point favorite in this game when the preseason lines were announced, and now the Gamecocks are a 3-point underdog. Can you remember a swing like that in recent memory?
David Purdum: There are some big spread swings like that when you are dealing with an early line like that in the preseason, but those lines move pretty significantly throughout the year. You’ve got the quarterback injuries of course, but I think a lot of it has to do with the fact that people are really starting to respect Missouri. But you will see line movement like that like those early lines. Those lines came out in late August. They will move those more aggressively during the season than they would in a week-to-week type thing.
The State: I had people trying to convince me that South Carolina was listed by someone as a 5-point favorite on Sunday, but you’re telling me that’s not the case right?
David Purdum: That was an error on the computer services that show lines at different books. To the best of my knowledge, when Vegas went up with their lines it was what it is now, 2.5, 3. The 5 that was reported earlier I was told was an error.
The State: Las Vegas clearly has some respect for the Tigers now right? They are 30-to-1 to win the BCS title.
David Purdum: Opened up at 500-to-1 to open the season. The Las Vegas Hotel and Casino SuperBook, somebody has two tickets on the Tigers at 500-to-1, so they’re in great shape.
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