What Vegas Thinks: Higher ranked Clemson not the favorite
11/27/2013 10:15 AM
11/27/2013 10:55 PM
This week, sports gambling industry journalist David Purdum and I discuss the movement on the South Carolina-Clemson line and why the Associated Press polls has no bearing on Las Vegas’ decision-making.
The State: The South Carolina-Clemson line has moved a little recently. Where does it stand now?
David Purdum: It opened up about four or five depending on what book you were at in Vegas, got all the way to 5.5 but other books have brought it back down to 4.5, so there has been some opinions out there on this game.
The State: Have we seen any big money in either direction that has helped affect the line?
David Purdum: The Wynn takes a $2,000 maximum bet on their early lines. Limits will grow closer to kickoff as the line gets tighter. That’s kind of how they protect themselves, but they did take a couple limit bets that made it go from 4.5 to 5.5, so there is some money coming in on the Gamecocks.
The State: This is a classic case of the higher ranked team not being the favorite. For the casual fan, that’s kind of hard to understand, but the AP poll doesn’t matter much to Las Vegas does it?
David Purdum: That’s a very good point. The polls have zero impact on the power rankings that Vegas uses to set their numbers.
The State: What about South Carolina’s winning streak? Does Vegas take that into account?
David Purdum: I think they know that there is going to be SEC money. It’s not so much that South Carolina has beaten Clemson four straight, covered every time in that stretch, but it’s more the fact that there are still a lot of people who say, “Hey, I am going to bet on the SEC any time they have a matchup with the ACC or another conference.” They will take that into consideration. South Carolina is 6-1 against the spread against the ACC, covered six out of their last seven against the ACC. That shows you how that comes into play.
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