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Car Dealers Have So Much Inventory That They’re Dropping Prices

By Pete Grieve MONEY RESEARCH COLLECTIVE

But high auto loan rates mean financing remains costly.

Money; Getty Images

New car prices are on the decline as the highest inventory levels in years force dealers and automakers to reduce their margins.

The average price of a new vehicle was $47,401 in January, which is a 2.6% drop from the average price in December of $48,652, according to Kelley Blue Book data.

New car prices are also down by 3.5% compared to a year ago. In January 2023, the average price was $49,125, making this decline noteworthy as new car prices almost always rise year over year.

“Prices have been trending downward for roughly six months now as automakers are sweetening deals to keep the sales flowing,” Erin Keating, executive analyst for Cox Automotive, said in a report.

In other words, car prices are falling as the number of cars on dealers’ lots rises. New vehicle inventory currently stands at 2.66 million units, according to Cox data, which is a 49% increase in the past year.

Increased vehicle production and relatively low buyer demand are the main factors leading to the rise — and discounts to lure in buyers. For example, qualifying customers can get up to $7,850 cash back on certain 2023 Dodge Durango models.

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Despite the recent decline in average transaction prices, car prices are still up nearly $11,000 since January 2020. Auto loan rates are also higher, which means affordability remains a major issue for America’s drivers.

The average auto loan rate on a new vehicle is 9.68%, only slightly lower than the recent peak of 9.95% recorded in mid-October (which was the highest level in at least five years). In fact, experts say many would-be buyers are waiting to shop for their next car until financing options improve.

“With rates higher so far this year, the consumer has limited sense of urgency right now other than cash in hand,” Jonathan Smoke, chief economist at Cox, said in a separate report Tuesday.

For buyers with good credit scores, it’s still possible to find a low-APR financing deal, especially if you’re shopping for a less-in-demand vehicle. Per Cox, more than 13% of car buyers are securing APRs under 3%.

In the used vehicle market, prices are also down from last year. The average list price was was $25,328 in January, which is 4% lower than a year ago, according to Cox. But used auto loan rates are even higher than they are for new vehicles, and a recent report from car ownership app Jerry found that most American households can’t even afford the average used car.

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Pete Grieve

Pete Grieve is a New York-based reporter who covers personal finance news. At Money, Pete covers trending stories that affect Americans’ wallets on topics including car buying, insurance, housing, credit cards, retirement and taxes. He studied political science and photography at the University of Chicago, where he was editor-in-chief of The Chicago Maroon. Pete began his career as a professional journalist in 2019. Prior to joining Money, he was a health reporter for Spectrum News in Ohio, where he wrote digital stories and appeared on TV to provide coverage to a statewide audience. He has also written for the San Francisco Chronicle, the Chicago Sun-Times and CNN Politics. Pete received extensive journalism training through Report for America, a nonprofit organization that places reporters in newsrooms to cover underreported issues and communities, and he attended the annual Investigative Reporters and Editors conference in 2021. Pete has discussed his reporting in interviews with outlets including the Columbia Journalism Review and WBEZ (Chicago's NPR station). He’s been a panelist at the Chicago Headline Club’s FOIA Fest and he received the Institute on Political Journalism’s $2,500 Award for Excellence in Collegiate Reporting in 2017. An essay he wrote for Grey City magazine was published in a 2020 book, Remembering J. Z. Smith: A Career and its Consequence.