The Buzz

In Indiana, it’s do or die for Cruz, #NeverTrump

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign stop at Old National Events Plaza, Thursday, April 28, 2016, in Evansville, Ind.
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign stop at Old National Events Plaza, Thursday, April 28, 2016, in Evansville, Ind. AP

Tuesday in Indiana is do-or-die time for the GOP’s #NeverTrump movement and its would-be leader, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas.

And, according to polls, it is not looking good for the anti-Trump forces.

Meanwhile, former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will move another step toward the Democratic nomination.

Trump leads by about 10 percentage points over Cruz in Indiana, according to an average of polls by Real Clear Politics. Ominously, for the anti-Trump forces, that lead has been increasing — the most recent poll had the New York billionaire up by 17 percentage points.

Clinton’s lead is narrower over U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont — ranging from as much as 13 percentage points to, more recently, as little as 4 points.

However, since Democrats divide delegates proportionately, Clinton is assured of getting a good hunk of Indiana’s 83 delegates — regardless of the outcome.

On the Republican side, Trump could carry all of Indiana’s 57 delegates, adding to his lead. The statewide winner gets 30 delegates. The other 27 are awarded — three each — to the winner of the state’s nine congressional districts.

Up next: Republicans and Democrats vote in West Virginia on May 10. Republicans also vote the same day in Nebraska.

The presidential races

Where the delegate race stands now

Democratic

Clinton: 2165 (1)

Sanders: 1,357 (2)

Needed to win: 2,382

Republican

Trump: 996

Cruz: 565

Kasich: 153

Needed to win: 1,237

(1) 1,645 delegates won plus 520 super-delegates

(2) 1,318 delegates won plus 39 super-delegates

This story was originally published May 2, 2016 at 5:08 PM.

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