South Carolina

As Tropical Storm Elsa nears, here’s the Midlands forecast

A map from the National Hurricane Center shows Tropical Storm Elsa’s forecasted track as of 8 a.m. Monday. The Carolinas could feel impacts later this week.
A map from the National Hurricane Center shows Tropical Storm Elsa’s forecasted track as of 8 a.m. Monday. The Carolinas could feel impacts later this week. National Hurricane Center

As Tropical Storm Elsa neared Cuba on Monday, the chance of storm-force winds approaching the Midlands remained low, predicted the National Weather Service.

But some Midlands residents could see two to four inches of rain when the storm arrives near Columbia by Wednesday afternoon and evening. Thursday is forecast to be the wettest day of the week.

The S.C. cities most likely to receive stronger winds from Elsa, a storm that was previously classified as a hurricane, are in the southernmost parts of the Lowcountry, near Hilton Head Island. South Carolinians are expected to start feeling those winds on Wednesday at 8 a.m. at the earliest.

The National Weather Service said the Lowcountry could see winds of at least 39 mph, which are considered storm force. Walking against those winds can be difficult and the blast can tear limbs off trees. Trees can sway, and umbrellas become difficult to use.

In addition to receiving those stronger winds, coastal regions of South Carolina are expected to get more rain than the Midlands from the storm. The National Weather Service has advised the heavy rains could lead to isolated flash floods along the coast.

No tropical storm warnings or watches have yet been issued for any part of South Carolina. Tropical storm warnings have been sent for the lower coastal regions of southern Florida that touch the Gulf of Mexico, while cities located farther north on Florida’s western coast, like Tampa and Tallahassee, remain on Tropical Storm watch, the less serious of the two classifications.

As Elsa approaches Florida, experts expect to know more about the storm’s path and its likely effects. If it turns further westward, as it continues to do, a tornado threat could be expected in South Carolina. If it turns more towards the east, the Midlands should see less of the storm’s impacts.

This is a developing story and may be updated. The latest storm forecast can be followed here.

This story was originally published July 5, 2021 at 11:19 AM.

Chiara Eisner
The State
Chiara Eisner investigates and reports high-impact stories across the state of South Carolina. She is the newspaper’s 2021 Journalist of the Year and the South Carolina Press Association’s Assertive Journalist of the Year. The Secrets of the Death Chamber series she reported for The State was a finalist in the national 2021 Investigative Reporters and Editors (IRE) Award competition. Her reporting on the harvest of horseshoe crabs in South Carolina was part of the package that earned her honorable mention in the 2021 Evert Clark/Seth Payne Award, an annual prize for science journalists.
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