South Carolina

Will SC have extra cold or unseasonably warm fall weather? What Farmers Almanac and NOAA predict

Remnants of an overnight dusting of snow are temporarily preserved on a small pile of fallen leaves.
Remnants of an overnight dusting of snow are temporarily preserved on a small pile of fallen leaves. Tri-City Herald file

South Carolinians should expect a rainy and unseasonably warm fall this year, weather forecasts show.

It has been another scorching hot summer in South Carolina and while fall will provide some relief, don’t count on particularly chilly temperatures. The Palmetto State is headed for a possibly warmer than average summer, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. South Carolina can also expect a rainy season, the administration adds.

The fall season officially starts Sept. 23 this year. Here’s what weather NOAA predicts for the fall season.

NOAA fall predictions

NOAA expects a 40% to 50% chance of temperatures leaning above average from September through November in South Carolina. Meanwhile, NOAA predicts a 33% to 40% chance of rainfall leaning above average over the same period.

A map of the U.S. that shows seasonal temperature outlooks for September, October and November.
A map of the U.S. that shows seasonal temperature outlooks for September, October and November. screenshot Courtesy of NOAA

A map of the U.S. that shows seasonal rain outlooks for September, October and November.
A map of the U.S. that shows seasonal rain outlooks for September, October and November. screenshot Courtesy of NOAA


Farmers Almanac predictions

NOAA isn’t alone with its fall weather predictions. The extended forecast from Farmers’ Almanac also suggests a decent amount of rain during the fall in South Carolina and across the Southeast.

South Carolina will end September with widespread showers. The first week of October could have a noticeable temperature drop, followed by possible rainy and blustery weather in the middle of the month. More rain will follow and a bout of possible unseasonably cold weather in time for Halloween, Farmers’ Almanac predicts.

Rain is expected to kick off November, then more temperature drops and pleasant weather until another dose of rain leading up to Thanksgiving.

How Farmers’ Almanac predicts the weather

Founded in 1818, the Farmers’ Almanac uses a secret formula that includes components such as “sunspot activity, tidal action, the position of the planet,” to predict long-range weather forecasts. The forecasts are typically made two years in advance. Fans of the Farmers’ Almanac have, over the years, calculated that the predictions are accurate 80-85% of the time.

Patrick McCreless
The State
Patrick McCreless is the Southeast service journalism editor for McClatchy, who leads and edits a team of six reporters in South Carolina, Georgia and Mississippi. The team writes about trending news of the day and topics that help readers in their daily lives and better informs them about their communities. He attended Jacksonville State University in Alabama and grew up in Tuscaloosa, AL.
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